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Reports from New York

 

vol.23 Trump’s Presidency - Anger, Excitement and Uncertainty (March, 2017 )

President Trump has been in office slightly more than 2 months yet it seems much longer because of the daily conflicts and announcements. It’s been exhausting and exhilarating at the same time because no one knows what he will do or tweet next.

The President’s proposed repeal of Obamacare failed last week because it was too much, too soon. He has surrounded himself with many new people to Washington and even though his team is mostly Republican, he failed to realize that many Republicans in Congress don’t want major change as much as he does. They want stability and re-election to office as much as the Democrats.

Congress did not see the new American Health Care Act (AHCA), Trump’s alternative to Obamacare, as being politically popular. That’s because no one took the time from the Trump team to explain how the new AHCA would be better for most Americans.

The stock market is still going strong, setting new records daily, because businesses feel he will continue to reduce cut regulations and make it easier to do business. There hasn’t been much specific activity involving labor de-regulation as yet because Trump’s first nominee for Secretary of Labor, Andrew Puzder, withdrew his nomination due to strong opposition from the Democrats. The current nominee,
Alexander Acosta, a former assistant attorney general for civil rights under President George Bush, should be confirmed this week. After the Secretary has been confirmed, changes will begin.

Experts predict that Obama’s move to increase minimum wages and make it easier for workers to be eligible for overtime will be significantly modified or cancelled, something business leaders would welcome. The National Labor Relations Board is now led by a Republican, Philip Miscimarra who is acting chairman. Once Trump nominates 2 other Republicans to the Board, we can expect to see union-friendly decisions over the past 8 years reversed. For example, the Board voted in 2016 to allow graduate students at universities the right to unionize. Columbia University’s graduate students, who teach and perform research, have already voted to unionize while others are voting soon (University of Pennsylvania among others).

It seems to most people that President Trump is moving too fast to fulfill his campaign promises, not understanding that he has many people in his administration who are new to Washington. He also must understand the need to communicate the benefits of his changes to voters more clearly. His Democratic opposition is very skilled at pointing out how these changes hurt certain people, mostly in the lower income groups.

If Trump can focus on 2 or 3 main changes and explain their benefits to most people, he can be the ‘change agent’ people voted for. Despite some setbacks, consumer confidence is it the highest level since 2000 so he still can fulfill his promise to build a stronger U.S. economy. If not, he stands a good chance of losing the Republican majorities in the House and Senate 2018 elections.

 
掲載日2017年4月5日

「Reports from New York」はニューヨークでHRMに関する活動をしているPhilip S. Kozlowskiからのレポートです。
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